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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65710

Charlton Athletic U21 VS Millwall U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.53%
Draw
19.80%
Away
18.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2221
Log loss
0.4856

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
b8d1b003655e1a668eb910ae6292352880b18a6ffb9210e9356ae2828a64bb2e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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