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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65662

Al-Sailiya VS Al-Rayyan SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.82%
Draw
18.86%
Away
65.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1101
Log loss
1.6681

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
dd100c41cb4c4db910bb9b8d05de6e80e7cfa4b5de6cdc498fdc42e8f1677215

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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