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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65658

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.36%
Draw
21.99%
Away
33.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4711
Log loss
0.8127

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
32663234f64ad189ad29dc5827d3cdac91c64665994430aa798e251f65134ef5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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