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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65645

Saipa VS Niroye Zamini

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.00%
Draw
31.49%
Away
16.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3568
Log loss
0.6538

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
1da7a9d41dc44a671cf7111c0b100bc1c948c055be87af4720c7b386caf76708

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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