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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65617

City London VS Cambé

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.31%
Draw
25.11%
Away
17.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2762
Log loss
0.5567

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
1550d6c240011fdda45eea0135ea50debdd4a6eab58ef80985846d8f0f68d350

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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