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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6560

Coruxo VS Gernika

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.05%
Draw
34.97%
Away
33.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6348
Log loss
1.0507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
SHA-256
9ed7dd11d46c2d7c215e2f64f86dc5eb708c2a65697ca77ed6efdb4a8cf6a01c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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