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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6554

Sokol Zápy VS Baník Souš

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.22%
Draw
33.32%
Away
24.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5047
Log loss
0.8623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
SHA-256
4e949edbb5b75633404b65788a859c8b9c7a24a34bc5e312a1d3020c90e8edda

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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