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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65535

Atlético Central VS Sevilla Atletico

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.60%
Draw
27.20%
Away
45.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8025
Log loss
1.2874

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
bb664a49ea1863fbb1af5aa8e1cbe53785462b2bc508ea8dc9b84863a7030a25

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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