Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #65354

Cádiz II VS Pozoblanco

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.47%
Draw
24.94%
Away
18.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0438
Log loss
1.6825

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
fe32310806aebb53628ff8209dc156b5a5ed8a05a9b7a2bd199bf5c34abe2229

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →