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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6503

Assyriska FF VS Piteå

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:35 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.54%
Draw
33.48%
Away
19.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9688
Log loss
1.6100

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:35 UTC
SHA-256
298b8b1ad31379c24c009deaa45da33241e95e83b0a7309f290c8a836c62b61d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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