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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64949

Mollerussa VS Cornellà

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.93%
Draw
28.80%
Away
34.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7608
Log loss
1.2448

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b11e91ef685f738c4b7df38c0f12c9802b72c51e8d688291af56fb4bbf838325

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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