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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64686

Ninove VS KRC Gent

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.58%
Draw
22.80%
Away
34.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5015
Log loss
0.8538

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
49260b7dd97c58da1ff8e929435f029a6380856436647b125d8841dff746f859

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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