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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64656

Diegem Sport VS Francs Borains

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
6.03%
Draw
11.86%
Away
82.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.4547
Log loss
2.1320

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
0d149459318341eac442a8ab531433f713a83460b14fe8c7e52ea3be8c7b532f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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