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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64363

Unionistas II VS Turégano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.00%
Draw
24.33%
Away
18.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9324
Log loss
1.4135

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
9c9ffaa0b5101457c50eb7128f258a6a99b6fd6e7cf87f524cb05a9a0749da44

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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