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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64358

Potkozarje VS Leotar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.95%
Draw
26.58%
Away
50.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8464
Log loss
1.3250

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
c362037efd7d20a710f9a64ece9fc7936531c84074d7a53efa5d40eb9b797cb1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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