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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6424

Reggina VS Igea Virtus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:33 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.27%
Draw
39.17%
Away
22.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5854
Log loss
0.9605

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:33 UTC
SHA-256
98b55eed27402a9f347a64c166f0e3677ad9a842e20c0b9d3da80716716d1d0c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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