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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64148

Septemvri Dragoevo VS Benkovski Isperih

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.15%
Draw
22.31%
Away
46.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9172
Log loss
1.5001

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
713b0c52c41006e17ab180191595b9fe25a8b7ce17752f80994ed5f4e5d1f41a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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