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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64138

Radnik Hadžići VS Travnik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.11%
Draw
27.48%
Away
42.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4978
Log loss
0.8578

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
c392cc6a2ec00f9d7bdf649df4e05cca1ec62c63dc5e58e870f78bfc2874409b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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