Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #6379

Panedessaikos VS Mpam

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:33 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.63%
Draw
29.65%
Away
32.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7436
Log loss
1.2157

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:33 UTC
SHA-256
9616539f8c2f8fda1ac1702e48341b4b7e421e0c18485a8edf76123f87d7b5cf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →