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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63776

Loko Vltavín VS Králův Dvůr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.95%
Draw
21.96%
Away
52.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3451
Log loss
0.6522

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
7bbd96b779ab0f5c72cd33f882e2b16ddc5d53981f292ec1e99969cd2a0ea2f0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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