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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63673

Cobh Ramblers VS Athlone Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.17%
Draw
26.06%
Away
39.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8216
Log loss
1.3448

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
33cd063a9ed9d584e41aaa44903bc7755c141ac7aa2b52c328b4639386f806db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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