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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63660

Atlante U21 VS Monterrey U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.11%
Draw
24.41%
Away
46.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.7782
Log loss
1.2341

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
8fa6b928366b1bd8079d379f89a1917b12f3a93854202dec62147bde40d7c72e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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