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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63645

Hertha Zehlendorf VS Reinickendorfer Fuchse

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.73%
Draw
15.72%
Away
9.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0977
Log loss
0.2914

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
b2618a2d5eb4ac5548018b1bde0ce5908482fccf82a5c89ad180676218f73e5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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