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Frozen pre-match forecast · #6359

SF Baumberg VS Germania Ratingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:32 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.92%
Draw
38.00%
Away
37.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6024
Log loss
0.9921

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:32 UTC
SHA-256
25c647002825904df030460f8e8bd92f4fef7399e0bd9c80e9f95b394219ce4e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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