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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63556

Uljanik VS Slavonija Požega

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.27%
Draw
21.86%
Away
23.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9621
Log loss
1.5206

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
38b35dc5e6f5717da65512349783e4c6f459b173886e3649459e97d1da44d2b2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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