Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #63514

Puerto Rico VS Guyana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.59%
Draw
27.93%
Away
37.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5884
Log loss
0.9812

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
acdc530198eeec2e1e25f497cd0a0b5f4ab1dcb2efc45eccac23f1a04e81faf0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →