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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63469

Masar VS Proxy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.43%
Draw
25.99%
Away
15.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2647
Log loss
0.5374

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
74b9e2592b1d23e155206c86db1c5ac3b8d4f1cbfa214f8354d257247a7b35c8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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