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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63464

Namibia VS Congo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.67%
Draw
30.39%
Away
29.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5460
Log loss
0.9246

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
9d6a3fed1687789448c39a2ecef41b55bad6aaf524d8192ed0f021425d41698c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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