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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63385

Chelyabinsk VS Enisey

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.07%
Draw
28.30%
Away
36.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7713
Log loss
1.2623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
0e38387d8783ba9751f0f811bb9763a737d562fefd21c1b026ee44c930229fad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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