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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63365

Estonia U21 VS Faroe Islands U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.17%
Draw
21.65%
Away
60.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2385
Log loss
0.5078

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
39e003fbb5ab07295dc2d1a9a422b54fecf85183fce730bfd11c520f831478b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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