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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63247

Cerro Porteno VS 2 de Mayo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.08%
Draw
24.68%
Away
15.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
b205e28d6d89ddc9b6c1e3004f69f041ca2d1ec00e6e29b4e36c0d1a7a2cbe0d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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