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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63094

Koprivnica VS Uskok Klis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.34%
Draw
23.61%
Away
50.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3746
Log loss
0.6921

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
SHA-256
24db473e0b486184466a3a7a6487a8029c09c565253e7385edf4c84c372307c9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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