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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62809

Fana VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:44 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.81%
Draw
13.70%
Away
11.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0954
Log loss
0.2902

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:44 UTC
SHA-256
a40295ac541eea69e4a81328332eb0b365bc647662b794c70be1ecbace7eaa19

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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