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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62782

Bucaramanga VS Junior

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:44 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.83%
Draw
24.64%
Away
22.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3340
Log loss
0.6381

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:44 UTC
SHA-256
36af1c0d101a9d4ab7191ca5a11facf5b6b138de9c396996f2d9e1e6d8728819

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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