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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62591

Enugu Rangers VS Abia Warriors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.95%
Draw
18.55%
Away
7.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1079
Log loss
0.3018

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
1477b9fc7cd375d0f76538950c1a988a0fc43a5e76980708c38990aa62024d56

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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