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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62588

Inter Lagos VS Katsina United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.39%
Draw
29.04%
Away
23.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7837
Log loss
1.2365

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
b6487abe844f0058a485145ebc7554e8a177a2810bf282f7e7d2df214a870dbf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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