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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62378

Sanremese VS Bra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.57%
Draw
28.69%
Away
25.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4449
Log loss
0.7860

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
60a336e81f2d72b21710f7973c77576c8a8a6392f11d410546948bf1fc634347

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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