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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62373

Borgosesia VS Sestri Levante

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.01%
Draw
28.88%
Away
38.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5753
Log loss
0.9645

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
d8e23576fb872b5df41b2b2f91e05b869b1b031fffcb2d2c7a2cf67884333c15

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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