Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #61805

Royal Antwerp II VS Cappellen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.76%
Draw
15.20%
Away
9.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0901
Log loss
0.2777

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
6c92ed00cc74cc9ec8a5027d95766b49d7e397d92096f09f05912fef11d14f13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →