Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #61804

Zulte Waregem II VS Oudenaarde

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.18%
Draw
18.00%
Away
16.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1255
Log loss
1.7148

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
8e4391e2fe071a8fd3a940469b450d89447870c9d29bd666a3c8225757ee2a54

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →