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Frozen pre-match forecast · #61274

Pirin Razlog VS Levski Sofia II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.90%
Draw
27.00%
Away
33.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6798
Log loss
1.1058

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
098626a391c766c91b6a9c86ad7aa31ab8461071d2fbb2024ed10c5f6215c302

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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