Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #61191

Kvik Trondheim VS Byåsen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.10%
Draw
18.70%
Away
62.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2143
Log loss
0.4748

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
8f59b599534c848f44718af8e5f1918fbbd7e7a4521b0bcf6d10985d6678ebe8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →