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Frozen pre-match forecast · #61102

Zonguldak Kömürspor VS Düzcespor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.66%
Draw
27.28%
Away
28.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8070
Log loss
1.2989

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
d6f9126d598851aa3da6ba8faca3e7b744b9867335ffc01771e6e93efaafd560

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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