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Frozen pre-match forecast · #61021

MyPa VS PuiU Helsinki

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.28%
Draw
22.96%
Away
36.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6149
Log loss
1.0008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
315974a831006d1ff818c1f62adafdc00cbb55b0346f000ba5f33f60a0cf1c5e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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