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Frozen pre-match forecast · #60686

Voluntari II VS Alexandria

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.87%
Draw
24.52%
Away
50.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3659
Log loss
0.6810

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
87f0791fac26c7f3cfb2256353f96c8fc6b5b9869c847f903fde2399201b49f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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