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Frozen pre-match forecast · #60312

Bromsgrove Sporting VS Leamington

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.43%
Draw
20.41%
Away
15.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0716
Log loss
1.5891

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
1d0f2458a84fac48261d0040c19d76d70279d71bddecec7c55f746d3b1738af8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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