Frozen pre-match forecast · #60302
Hartlepool VS Harrogate Town
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 29 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 25.87%
- Draw
- 24.86%
- Away
- 49.27%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3861
- Log loss
- 0.7079
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
- SHA-256
- e3f30c99d2ecd8a29cee15639ae492c7c2d24b70dca56923e97c7a7a679ea5df
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.