Frozen pre-match forecast · #60289
Finland VS Belarus
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 29 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 42.78%
- Draw
- 27.56%
- Away
- 29.67%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.7958
- Log loss
- 1.2889
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
- SHA-256
- e0751a435f0a4e1af10eb66f3dcfe9dc681439b31d626689b7c54b3200c4f8e8
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.