Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #60264

Al-Khor VS UMM Salal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.88%
Draw
22.44%
Away
38.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5775
Log loss
0.9498

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:42 UTC
SHA-256
e2a58bbea774ef05677de19b8774bbc4a92cd009e906967158c66d2c697b89c2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →