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Frozen pre-match forecast · #59984

Atlético Arteixo VS Alondras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.89%
Draw
25.01%
Away
23.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.9232
Log loss
1.4653

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:41 UTC
SHA-256
19ba5e924f341ed6f7e36567ec8ce5fa704531daadbd314b4701c34eb70fb322

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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